by Tony Sagami on May 24, 2012
I often write about China’s furious spending spree on buying foreign natural resource assets but Japan is hot and heavy on the acquisition trail too. The Japanese are particularly interested in natural gas. Most likely as a clean substitute for its nuclear plants.
Japanese companies are buying natural gas assets and fields around the world, setting the nation on course to be the first of the 10 largest energy users to bet its future on a less-polluting fuel than oil or coal.
by Tony Sagami on May 24, 2012
Americans are feeling some inflation, mainly from rising gas prices. Singaporeans are feeling it too, but mainly from the super strong Singapore real estate market.
Singapore inflation hit a slightly higher-than-expected 5.4 per cent in April, increasing the chance that it may exceed a government forecast for the year and putting pressure on the central bank to keep a tighter monetary policy.
The MAS and the trade ministry said housing costs, which rose 11.1 per cent year-on-year, were the biggest contributor for April inflation. In March, housing costs rose 9.1 per cent from the previous year.
by Tony Sagami on May 24, 2012
Interesting article from the Washington Post. It asks and answers the question of whether China will face the same boom/bust cycle that Japan and Taiwan did.
China’s growth looks remarkable. But it isn’t unprecedented. Japan, South Korea and Taiwan all grew close to 9 percent annually for about two decades and then started to slow. Many think that China’s fate will be like that of Japan, which crashed and slowed down in the 1990s and has yet to boom again. But the more realistic scenario is Japan in the 1970s, when the original Asian tiger’s growth slowed from 9 percent to about 6 percent. Korea and Taiwan followed similar trajectories.
by Tony Sagami on May 24, 2012
One industry doesn’t seem to be slowing down at all in China. I’m talking about the luxury market. BMW is tripling its production capacity in China to meet booming demand.
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW) plans to triple the number of vehicles it can make in China.
BMW sold 43,800 more cars globally through the first four months of 2012, compared with a year earlier, with 60 percent of those additional sales in China. For Audi, China accounted for 74 percent of its delivery growth of 49,300 vehicles this year, according to company figures.
by Tony Sagami on May 24, 2012
Chinese aluminum plants are reducing capacity and idling plants because of slack demand.
China’s top aluminium-producing province has idled about 700,000 tonnes of capacity in recent months, a senior industry official said, further evidence that slower growth in the world’s No. 2 economy is denting the country’s appetite for commodities.
by Tony Sagami on May 24, 2012
The Chinese manufacturing slowdown continues. This is just another way to saying that the export industry is getting worse and worse.
The HSBC manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) dropped to 48.7 in May on a 100-point scale, down from a final reading of 49.3 in April.
by Sean Brodrick on May 23, 2012
Here’s a table that I sent to Red-Hot Global Resources subscribers yesterday as part of a much larger issue, showing US Crude Oil Production …

American oil production hit an 8-year high last year. The thing is, production KEEPS growing. February’s U.S. oil production, the latest number available, was 178,170 barrels. That’s the highest level for that month since 1998!
Invest accordingly.
by Sean Brodrick on May 21, 2012
According to Baker Hughes, the natural gas rotary drilling rig-count has fallen by 63% in North America since its peak in August 2008 and, during the same period, the oil rig-count has risen 230%

However, there are still massive amounts of natural gas in storage, because the shift in rigs hasn’t caused a big enough of a change in the production cycle (yet) to make much of a dent, as this chart from the Energy Information Administration shows …

As you can see, the amount of nat-gas in storage is way above the 5-year range.
Now, here’s my question for you: will we have a hot summer that drives nat-gas usage higher? Or will a mild summer follow the mild winter, which means less draw on gas stockpiles?
by Tony Sagami on May 21, 2012
Wow, this sounds very big to me. The Financial Times reported that some Chinese coal buyers are either coal and iron ore suppliers to defer delivery or completely canceling/defaulting on the contract altogether.
by Tony Sagami on May 17, 2012
The media gave a lot of attention to Facebook founder, Eduarado Saverin, decision to renounce his U.S. citizenship and switch his citizenship to Singapore.
The decision for most Americans that do so is financial. Top individual income-tax rates are 20% in Singapore and 17% in Hong Kong,