According to Baker Hughes, the natural gas rotary drilling rig-count has fallen by 63% in North America since its peak in August 2008 and, during the same period, the oil rig-count has risen 230%

Baker Hughes rig type

However, there are still massive amounts of natural gas in storage, because the shift in rigs hasn’t caused a big enough of a change in the production cycle (yet) to make much of a dent, as this chart from the Energy Information Administration shows …

eia nat gas

As you can see, the amount of nat-gas in storage is way above the 5-year range.

Now, here’s my question for you: will we have a hot summer that drives nat-gas usage higher? Or will a mild summer follow the mild winter, which means less draw on gas stockpiles?

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Wow, this sounds very big to me. The Financial Times reported that some Chinese coal buyers are either coal and iron ore suppliers to defer delivery or completely canceling/defaulting on the contract altogether.

 

 

 

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The media gave a lot of attention to Facebook founder, Eduarado Saverin, decision to renounce his U.S. citizenship and switch his citizenship to Singapore.

The decision for most Americans that do so is financial. Top individual income-tax rates are 20% in Singapore and 17% in Hong Kong,

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The Best China Play: Apple, Google Or Facebook?

by Tony Sagami on May 17, 2012

Very interesting article from Forbes about Apple, Google, and Facebook.

It is not an exaggeration to say that all roads of growth lead to or through China. The obvious question for some of today’s most popular growth stocks is, “Out of Apple Google,, and Facebook, which company will do better in China?”

The bread and butter of Google and Facebook are selling advertising.  Apple on the other hand makes money by selling devices.

Chinese mentality regarding digital marketing is also not well understood by western analysts.  A typical American or European company is either spending 8% to 10% of its advertising budget on digital marketing or is heading in that direction.

In contrast, a typical large Chinese company spends only 2% to 3% of its advertising budget on digital marketing.

The point is that even if Facebook and Google could expand in China there is no pot of gold at the end of the rainbow in China.

On this count Apple gets the pot of gold.

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Chinese consumers slow spending

by Tony Sagami on May 17, 2012

A Nielsen survey of Chinese consumers found that are cooling towards discretionary spending, preferring to salt money into savings or education for their children.

Savings and education were the only areas in which survey respondents were more willing to allocate additional cash.

 

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Gold demand hits Chinese high

by Tony Sagami on May 17, 2012

China demand for gold hit an all-time high in the first quarter.

China remained the world’s top gold consumer for the second quarter in a row, with its gold consumer demand up 10 percent to 255.2 tonnes, beating India’s 207.6 tonnes.

 

 

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On today’s podcast, Phil and I talk about what’s happening in gold, where it might go next, and what I’m doing to protect Red-Hot Global Resources subscribers. Listen here: http://talkdigitalnetwork.com/2012/05/bear-market-for-gold/

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GM dumps Facebook advertising

by Tony Sagami on May 16, 2012

General Motors has decided to stop advertising on Facebook. Why? According to GM, Facebook advertising “just doesn’t work.”

General Motors, the third-largest advertiser in the United States, decided toer  discontinue its Facebook advertising, worth about $10 million annually.

That is pretty damning news but to put some perspective on it, Facebook had $3.7 billion worth of revenues in 2011 so this $10 million isn’t a big loss. If other advertisers follow suit, Facebook is going to get killed.

 

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Shipping giant posts big operating loss

by Tony Sagami on May 16, 2012

Maersk is the largest container shipper in the world and it had a lousy first quarter.
The operator of the world’s largest container ship fleet reported net profits up 1 per cent at $1.18bn on revenue down 1 per cent to $14.3bn compared with the same quarter of 2011. But the profits were entirely the result of a $900m exceptional gain following settlement of a tax dispute in Algeria and $324m in investment gains in the quarter.
Those results were actually worse than they look though. If not for the very profitable oil division, Maersk would have lost its shorts. The shipping division lost $600 million in Q1.

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The world according to CNN

by Tony Sagami on May 14, 2012

This is a very interesting look at where the world’s largest economies are headed. This CNN page shows how the 10 largest economies have performed since 2000 and what they are expected to do each year up to 2017.

Take a look. It will help you decide whether to include Asia or not in your portfolio.

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